My Approach to Investing
Summary
I focus my efforts on small and mid-sized companies searching for those where the growth prospects are not reflected in the share price. I am disciplined about the valuation I am prepared to pay; I don’t like to pay over 20x forecast earnings and favour companies that are paying a growing dividend and have a prospective dividend yield of at least 2.0%. I search for companies generating strong cash flow and if not having net cash, then debt levels that is low to moderate. Where possible I like to meet management and understand what makes them tick and if they have a decent stake in the business so much the better; our interests are aligned! I like companies that are beating expectations and earnings forecasts are being upgraded. Ultimately I am looking for the “double whammy” that comes from a re-rating and from faster than expected earnings growth. Having found a potential investment I look at the share price chart as it can help with timing; so often resistance and support levels work. I size a position based on my assessment of the potential Risk and Reward of the stock. I hold between 20 and 30 holdings, making use of investment trusts for overseas or thematic exposure.
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The most important number to me is the return of the Portfolio! I try not to get too emotionally involved with individual companies; if I cut a holding and it immediately bounces, so be it. All that matters is the return of the Portfolio, each month, each year, each decade!
I invest principally in the UK
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I invest mainly in UK stocks as that is where I have gained my experience. There are clearly opportunities to invest in overseas companies, and it is fair to say that it is now much easier to get the information you need. I think that for a private investor, such as myself, with limited time resources, it is better not to spread my net too wide. For me, it makes sense to focus my efforts on a market where I have experience and familiarity.
I focus on mid and small-sized companies
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I focus on mid and small-sized companies but not exclusively.
The FTSE 100 Index comprises the largest 100 companies and by value accounts for around 70% of the UK market, The FTSE 250, (the next 250 companies) accounts for about 25% of the market by value, and the FTSE Small Cap, FTSE Fledgling and FTSE AIM, the remainder.
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The table below shows the percentage returns over 1, 3, 5, and 10 years to 31st December 2020
My Approach to Investing
Summary
I focus my efforts on small and mid-sized companies searching for those where the growth prospects are not reflected in the share price. I am disciplined about the valuation I am prepared to pay; I don’t like to pay over 20x forecast earnings and favour companies that are paying a growing dividend and have a prospective dividend yield of at least 2.0%. I search for companies generating strong cash flow and if not having net cash, then debt levels that is low to moderate. Where possible I like to meet management and understand what makes them tick and if they have a decent stake in the business so much the better; our interests are aligned! I like companies that are beating expectations and earnings forecasts are being upgraded. Ultimately I am looking for the “double whammy” that comes from a re-rating and from faster than expected earnings growth. Having found a potential investment I look at the share price chart as it can help with timing; so often resistance and support levels work. I size a position based on my assessment of the potential Risk and Reward of the stock. I hold between 20 and 30 holdings, making use of investment trusts for overseas or thematic exposure.
​
The most important number to me is the return of the Portfolio! I try not to get too emotionally involved with individual companies; if I cut a holding and it immediately bounces, so be it. All that matters is the return of the Portfolio, each month, each year, each decade!
I invest principally in the UK
​
I invest mainly in UK stocks as that is where I have gained my experience. There are clearly opportunities to invest in overseas companies, and it is fair to say that it is now much easier to get the information you need. I think that for a private investor, such as myself, with limited time resources, it is better not to spread my net too wide. For me, it makes sense to focus my efforts on a market where I have experience and familiarity.
I focus on mid and small-sized companies
​
I focus on mid and small-sized companies but not exclusively.
The FTSE 100 Index comprises the largest 100 companies and by value accounts for around 70% of the UK market, The FTSE 250, (the next 250 companies) accounts for about 25% of the market by value, and the FTSE Small Cap, FTSE Fledgling and FTSE AIM, the remainder.
​
The table below shows the percentage returns over 1, 3, 5, and 10 years to 31st December 2020
ABOUT ME
I launched this website in January 2012 so that I could share with other investors how I manage my investment portfolio; the JIC Portfolio.
There is complete transparency with the current portfolio and all transactions shown. I explain all trades through my blog and hope the site provides food for thought to more experienced investors as well as helping those who are new to managing their own portfolios. I believe JohnsInvestmentChronicle is unique: There are plenty of “tipsters” who will remind you of the “good ones” and quietly forget the disasters; I do not have that luxury as the Portfolio is there for all to see, backed with real money; mine! I have to confront my mistakes and deal with them; there is no hiding place! Above all, this is a true expose of the trials and tribulations of a private investor!
COMPOUND INTEREST - WHY IT IS SO IMPORTANT
Compound Interest - Einstein’s Eighth Wonder of the World
What everyone, especially the younger, should know
The following post should not be considered advice; It is purely to demonstrate the power of compounding over time.
Einstein described compound interest as "the eighth wonder of the world". He went on to say, “He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn’t, pays it”.
Benjamin Franklin put it another way, “Money makes money. And the money that money makes, makes money.”
Every sixteen-year-old in the country should have this drummed into them, and again at eighteen.
The more time one gives oneself, the more likely one is to meet their long-term financial target. The target might be to achieve FIRE (Financial Independence Retire Early) at 50 or retire at sixty and travel the world or be financially better off in retirement than one will be on the state pension.
By playing with the simple-to-use, calculator above one can see the importance of starting as early as possible.
Example 1). A 30-year-old with £500 and saves £100 per month achieves an annual return of 7.0% will have £54,416 at the age of 50. However, if he/she had started at 25, it would have grown to £84,342 and at twenty to £126,767.
In the example above, I picked a 7.0% return. That is the typical long-term average from equities. One must be realistic. It is dangerous to put in 20%, see the result and think, "I like the look of that", and then take lots of risks to achieve it. I remind myself that my 17.3% annualised return over the last nine and a bit years has been attained during a generally easy period for equity investing. If I achieve anything like that over the next nine years, I will be happy but surprised. I would, however, be disappointed if I couldn’t achieve 10.0% per annum over the long term.
Example 2). Our 25-year-old above does well and when he/she is 30 increases the monthly saving to £250 per month and then at 35, to £400 per month and then at 40, £500 per month. Aged 55, they would have £359,000 and at age 60, £545,000.
Example 3). Doting grandparents start a SIPP for one-year-old Sam. They are allowed to put in £2,880; the government adds 25% to that to take it to £3,600. If 7.0% per annum is achieved over the next 50 years, it would be worth £118,008. If they were generous enough to make two further payments on the infant's first and second birthdays, it would be worth £330,695. If the annual return achieved is flexed up to 8.0%, It would be worth £538,000 at age 50 and £1.2m at age 60.
Examples 1 and 2 are based on investing in an Equity ISA where all capital gains and income are tax-free. If our young people were to invest through a SIPP, then the government would top it up at their marginal tax rate, which would significantly enhance the value of their portfolio. Of course, gaining access to the money in a SIPP is restricted until retirement age. An ISA is much more flexible.
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One should also take into account costs. 0.5% or 1.0% per annum will make a huge difference over time. At the very least, one should be aware of what charges one is paying.
Enjoy playing with the calculator and pass it on!